PASHMINA, short for paradigm shifts modelling and innovative approaches, challenges the mainstream socio-economic paradigm based on growth-driven economies. It devises paradigm shifts based on ecological economics, develops narratives of the corresponding futures (2050) and new modeling tools to simulate them, including indicators (vital signs) and meta models to serve as interface between the qualitative and the quantitative perspective. The new tools feature enhanced capabilities to take into account the interaction between the economy and the environment, paradigm shifts in the energy-transport-environment nexus and the land-use and territorial functions.
For more information, please visit the project website.
*Co-funded by the EU
- Produce exploratory scenarios (qualitative storylines) of future global change options up to 2030 and 2050, complemented by a quantitative analysis of key development indicators (GDP, wellbeing, etc.) undertaken by means of global long term meta-models.
- Analyze the consequences of the paradigm shifts in the energy-transport-environment nexus related to the urban functions: housing, mobility, recreation, etc.
- Assess the possible paradigm shifts in the land use and territorial functions related to agriculture, forestry and more in general ecosystem services: e.g. biofuels, biodiversity, ecosystems metabolism, etc.
- Developing a new generation of global indicators and models, starting from already existing sustainable accounting and general equilibrium modeling frameworks and adoption these to make them (more) sensitive to paradigm shifts in the long-term perspective
- Carry out a pilot assessment of possible adaptation and mitigation strategies to tackle with different paradigm shifts, evaluation their trade-offs.
- Perform a comparative evaluation of the advancements in modeling tools achieved by PASHMINA, and their diffusion in the scientific and stakeholders communities by means of innovative dissemination tools (virtual library, wiki-web tools, webGIS application) and other dissemination activities.
- Create a comprehensive website and wiki tool, and organize a final conference to present the project’s results.
- Coordinate the project
- Disseminate results and involve stakeholders
- Develop qualitative scenario analysis, conducted with the support of a DELPHI survey exercise involving all consortium experts and a number of selected external experts and stakeholders;
- Assess the relationship between paradigm shifts and urbanization, with competences focusing on urban related functions
- Describe possible policy options (shared with the European Commission and other stakeholders).