How healthy will we be in 2050? Can we change our health outcomes using foresight?
These are some of the questions that the FRESHER project, funded by the Horizon 2020 programme, has sought to answer using foresight and scenarios. A new video released by the project explains what foresight is and sets out three health scenarios for 2050. It depicts what each of these possible futures will look like, both in terms of health statistics and differences in quality of life.
Foresight can reduce the negative impact of non-communicable diseases, such as cardiovascular diseases, chronic lung diseases, diabetes and cancer, and improve outcomes through changes in policies, strategies and behaviours.
FRESHER brought together ten research groups, including leaders in the management of large European foresight projects and highly experienced health policy modelers, in an interdisciplinary team engaged in FoResight and Modelling for European Health policy and Regulation. The overall project objective was the representation of alternative futures where the detection of emerging health scenarios was used to test future policies to effectively tackle the burden of non-communicable diseases (NCDs). The project produced quantitative estimates of the future global burden of NCDs in the EU and their impact on health care expenditures and delivery, population well-being, health and socio-economic inequalities, and potential changes in these impacts according to alternative health and non-health policy options.
*This project received funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 programme under grant number 643576.
**This video was created by Ana Lucia Diaz Schiavon.